It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to figure out that everything is moving towards a hosted model more so than ever in the past. It also is not the first time that industry experts have predicted this shift would happen and in the past it has always stalled out for one reason or another.
The thing that everyone seems to agree on at this point is that this time around it feels real. It feels like it has an unstoppable momentum as Google docs tries to topple MS office and MS office franticly tries to move to a subscription model to keep up with Google docs.
In a recent yahoo news article Microsoft brass made the statement that over the next five years 50% of exchange mailboxes would move to exchange online.
This is a lot of mailboxes considering they claim that MS exchange will run 210 million corporate email accounts in 2008, growing to 319 million by 2012.
So what does all this mean for you and me? Great question!
I am not sure I have all the answers but for those of you who read the blog regularly you know I have an opinion.
The first question everyone asks me is ‘are we going to start hosting exchange for our customers or setup hosted exchange?’ – my answer is no way. What reason would we have to go after running the hosting infrastructure for these applications? I do believe there is technology right around the corner for providers like Everon to be able to immediately compete with the large infrastructure players without needing to make the capital investment. But why they heck would I want to try to keep up with Microsoft and Co as they add “roughly 10,000 powerful computer servers a month to its data centers.”
The answer is I don’t and I would suggest you don’t either. I am still wondering what companies like Group Spark and others that have build their business on this play are thinking – “I hope MS buys me” is all I can figure.
All that said I would direct you back to an article Mike wrote a few months back where he started to use the word aggregator for companies like you and me. We are not nor will we ever be the large utility companies and I sure as heck don’t want to be the low cost onsite guys so we are left in the middle position between the large utility companies and the customer as the aggregator of services.
So I suggest that we all start thinking about how to wrap premium services (ones we can charge a good penny for) around the low cost services that our customers will be choosing from.
The best example I have seen of this to date are the solution providers wrapping services around Google for business – which at the basic level is free by the way in case you have been living in a cave.
At first glance you would think, I will stay away from those services with my customers because I will never be able to make money providing them a free service. But if you take a closer look there are providers that have wrapped some nice packages around the setup and guidance for small businesses using these services. And ultimately your customers will ask for, no they will demand, these services for their business.
This is exactly what we all need to be thinking about and rolling out to the market. Don’t get left behind. Set yourself up in the aggregator position and survive!
Let me know what you all think, am I crazy? Do you have a different take on the strategic position today’s MSP should be taking in the future?
JC
